![]() In grief, though, one can see how counterfactual thinking could have negative implications when combined with hindsight bias. Researchers Kray et all (2010) note that counterfactual thinking is actually, “an essential feature of healthy cognitive and social functioning and also a ubiquitous part of life.” While they acknowledge that this type of thinking can certainly lead to negative thoughts and emotions like guilt and regret, they also suggest that counterfactual thinking can lead to positive emotions like relief and gratitude. “If I had gone to that party like I wanted, then I wouldn’t have aced my math test.” “If I hadn’t slept late, I wouldn’t have missed the bus.” ![]() Many times our counterfactual thinking follows an “if-then” pattern. Counterfactual thinking is thinking things like ‘What if?” and “ What might have been?”. It is the act of coming up with alternative outcomes that are counter to (or different than) the facts. If you’re still with me, let’s throw one more concept into the mix: In an effort to construct a narrative around one’s experiences, people often engage in counterfactual thinking. Others, on the other hand, are left with a narrative that causes them to feel unpleasant things like guilt, blame, shame, regret, and personal responsibility. The same tendency causes them to ignore neutral or contradictory evidence, so that when a person goes to piece together a meaningful narrative, as people are wont to do, they often wind up with a story that goes something like “This was the beginning, here were the signs, here’s where things went wrong, and this is the outcome.”įor some, it is comforting to create a narrative that brings order to the confusing chaos of death and grief, and many people find reassuring answers to questions like “Why?” “What went wrong?” “Could it have been changed?” and “What could have been done differently?”. When looking at events after the outcome is known, people have a tendency to notice information that is consistent with what they now know to be true. ![]() Hindsight bias is a normal and common psychological phenomenon that causes people to believe that outcomes were predictable. The reason I know this is because you are looking at things in hindsight, and hindsight is biased. It may be hard for you to believe because you now know how things turned out, but in the past you really didn’t know as much as you think you knew. You may have worried or had your suspicions, but you didn’t know. Or if you knew, the things you think you could have done differently weren’t quite as obvious to you then as they seem now. You see things you could have done differently, you see turning points, and you say to yourself: You may look into your memory and ask questions like:Īnd through a shattered but enlightened lens, you suddenly see the signs. ![]() It’s common to ask questions after a loved one dies, because sometimes you want answers. The idea that life and death is random creates a dissonance so sharp one simply can’t allow it to linger so you search… and you sift… and you piece irreparably broken things back together, desperate for it all to make sense. The search for sense in the seemingly senseless is one of the most instinctual coping skills a person can employ in the face of hardship. “Man’s main concern is not to gain pleasure or to avoid pain but rather to see a meaning in his life.” To quote Holocaust survivor and psychiatrist Viktor E. People have a natural tendency to sift through the ashes of tragedy in search of explanations. ![]() Regret in Grief, Guilt in Grief, Grief Brain & Thought Processes ![]()
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